Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Companies buying each other

What happens when two companies buy eachother's stock? Is it like when two snakes start eating eachother tail first?
In this blog post, we'll look into the mathematics of what is going on.
But let's start with a simple case of a company owning its own stock.
Suppose we have a stock price S, with a total of N shares issued, of which n are held by the company itself.
Let M be the value of the companies assets, excluding the shares that it holds in itself.
So we have the total valuation is the total number of shares multiplied by the share price, which is also equal to the valuation M plus the shares it holds in itself: SN=M+Sn Rearranging, we have: M=S(Nn) So we can say that the main company's valuation M, is the share price times the adjusted number of shares: total number of shares less the number of shares that the company holds in itself.
So far so good.
On the other hand, if we were to let a company declare its own shares on its balance sheet and treat them as a regular asset, then we could have a company valuation of (N S) and the owners of shares in the company would have an odd recursive ownership. When they bought shares they would be buying fractional ownership of more shares that the company held and those shares would have a fractional ownership of more shares etc.
Indeed if the company held many of it own shares, we could end up with a valuation being a large multiple of the main assets M.
Suppose we have a company valuation: V=M+Sn Using the equations above we have: S=MNn and so: V=M(1+nNn)=MNNn And in the limit as nN , the valuation of the company goes to infinity.
So, if we don't want to allow companies to give themselves infinite valuations, then we shouldn't let them declare the own stock on their balance sheet.

Suppose we have two companies and each buys stock in the other. Is this like a case of two snakes consuming eachother? If we look at the numbers, what happens to the company valuations and stock prices?

Let's label the companies 'a' and 'b'. We can say that the valuation of company 'a' is the number of outstanding shares times its share price. And we'll break that valuation into two parts, the main company and shares that the company holds in company 'b': NaSa=Ma+nbSb where company 'a' holds nb shares in company 'b'.
We have a similar expression for company b which holds na shares in company 'a'. NbSb=Mb+naSa If we add those two equations and rearrange a little, we find: Ma+Mb=Sa(Nana)+Sb(Nbnb) The equation suggests that the summed valuation of the main assets of the two companies is equal to the share price of each multiplied by the adjusted number of shares, which is total shares less shares owned by the other firm. Or in terms of corporate ownership, we can get full ownership of the two companies main assets Ma and Mb by buying the remaining share of each company that aren't already held by the other. That sounds reasonable.

Suppose now company 'a' decides to buy a few more share in company 'b', what impact will that have on the two share prices?
We let the investment that 'a' makes in 'b' be δIb. And suppose the price that it pays for each share is Sb.
Company 'a' will need to get the cash for the shares from somewhere, so we need subtract δIb from Ma.
When the transaction is complete, we'll see what our equations suggest is the appropriate impact on the share price of companies 'a' and 'b'.
We'll let the adjusted share prices be Sa+δSa and Sb+δSb. So we have a total valuation for company 'a': Na(Sa+δSa)=MaδIb+(Nb+δNb)(Sb+δSb) where the number of new shares in 'b' that 'a' purchased was: δNb=δIbSb After doing a little bit of algebra we find: NaδSa=NbδSb+δIbSbδSbeqn(1) In the case we are considering, company 'b' hasn't bought any new shares in company 'a', but we're interested to know if its valuation has been impacted, we have a valuation for company 'b': Nb(Sb+δSb)=Mb+na(Sa+δSa) Subtracting out the original valuation, we find: NbδSb=naδSa And so: δSb=naNbδSaeqn(2) We can substitute that into eqn(1), we find: NaδSa=(Nb+δIbSb)naNbδSa So: 0=δSa[(Nb+δIbSb)naNbNa] And so we see that δSa=0 and consequently, eqn(2) tells us: δSb=0
So, our model suggests that two firms buying shares in eachother doesn't cause price instability.

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